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Shaw, Golden Finance
In the early morning of April 8, the encryption market experienced a strong rebound. Bitcoin briefly exceeded US$72,000, once touching US$72,760, and rose by more than 5% in 24 hours; Ethereum briefly exceeded US$2,200, once touching US$2,273.44, and rising by more than 7% in 24 hours. Other mainstream currencies have experienced varying degrees of rise.
Coinglass data shows that in the past 24 hours, the entire network has been liquidated to US$595 million, with long orders liquidated at US$166 million, short orders liquidated at US$429 million, and short orders mainly liquidated. Bitcoin short positions were liquidated to US$244 million, and Ethereum short orders were liquidated to US$125 million. In the past 24 hours, more than 118,600 people on the entire network have been liquidated.
The global major asset markets have experienced significant fluctuations due to the influence of macro-geographic factors. U.S. stocks recovered their losses after experiencing violent shocks, with the S&P and Nasdaq closing sharply higher. U.S. bond yields first rose and then fell. The U.S. dollar index fell back to last week's lows. Brent crude oil plunged 15%, and spot gold expanded its intraday gains by nearly 3%.
Trump announced in the early morning that he would temporarily suspend attacks on Iran for two weeks, and Iran also claimed to accept the ceasefire agreement. Tensions in the Middle East that have lasted for nearly two months have been eased, significantly increasing the market's risk appetite.
In the early hours of this morning, the crypto market experienced a strong rebound due to the easing of the macroeconomic crisis. Bitcoin briefly exceeded US$72,000, once touching US$72,760, with a 24-hour increase of more than 5%. Ethereum rose simultaneously, briefly exceeding US$2,200 and once touching US$2,273.44, with a 24-hour increase of more than 7%. Solana briefly broke through $85 and once hit $87.02, with a 24-hour increase of more than 7%. Other mainstream currencies have experienced varying degrees of rise.

Coinglass data shows that in the past 24 hours, the entire network has been liquidated to US$595 million, with long orders liquidated at US$166 million, short orders liquidated at US$429 million, and short orders mainly liquidated. Among them, Bitcoin short positions were liquidated to US$244 million, and Ethereum short orders were liquidated to US$125 million. In addition, in the past 24 hours, more than 118,600 people across the entire network have been liquidated. The largest single liquidation order occurred on Binance - BTCUSDT, worth US$11.7954 million.
At the same time,the global major asset markets have experienced significant fluctuations due to the influence of macro-geographic factors. U.S. stocks recovered their losses after experiencing violent shocks, with the S&P and Nasdaq closing sharply higher. The S&P 500 rose 0.08%, the Nasdaq rose 0.10%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended lower, down 0.18%. U.S. bond yields first rose and then fell. The 10-year yield rose by 4.5 basis points at one point, and then continued to fall by more than 8 basis points from the daily high. The 2-year yield finally fell by 5 basis points. The U.S. dollar index fell for a second consecutive session on Tuesday, falling back to last week's lows. Brent crude oil plunged 15%, and spot gold expanded its intraday gains by nearly 3%, rising above $4,835.
Trump announced in the early morning that he agreed to suspend bombings and attacks on Iran within two weeks, and Iran later announced that it would accept a two-week ceasefire agreement proposed by Pakistan. The easing of tensions in Iran that lasted for nearly two months has greatly boosted the market's risk appetite and directly affected the sharp rise in risk assets. The recent improvement in ETF fund flows and the return of listed treasury buying have also exerted an impact on the rise of the crypto market.
Early this morning, U.S. President Trump said: “Based on my talks with Pakistani Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif and Pakistani Army Field Marshal Asim Munir, who asked me not to deploy destructive forces to Iran tonight, and on the condition that Iran agrees to fully, immediately and safely open the Strait of Hormuz, I agree to suspend the bombing and attack, for two weeks. This will be a two-way ceasefireWe have received a ten-point proposal from Iran and believe it is a viable basis for negotiations, and two weeks will allow the agreement to be finalized and entered into force.
Subsequently,Iran’s Supreme National Security Council issued a statement in the early morning of the 8th local time, stating that based on the recommendations of the Supreme Leader and the approval of the Supreme National Security Council, it accepted Pakistan’s ceasefire proposal. The statement stated that almost all of Iran's goals in this war have been achieved, and the enemy "suffered a historic and complete defeat." Iran will "continue to fight until its great achievements are consolidated and establish a new security and political pattern in the region." It also decided to hold negotiations in Islamabad to determine the details and "consolidate the victory results through political negotiations within a maximum of 15 days." The statement also stated that Iran rejected all plans proposed by the enemy and formulated a ten-point plan, which was submitted to the United States through Pakistan. In addition, Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi said: "If attacks on Iran stop, our powerful armed forces will stop defensive operations.With coordination with the Iranian armed forces and full consideration of technical limitations, safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz will be possible within the next two weeks."
According to reports, the Trump administration is preparing to hold face-to-face negotiations between U.S. and Iranian officials in the coming days as the two sides work to reach a long-term agreement to end the war between Washington and Tehran. White House press secretary Levitt said: "The possibility of holding face-to-face talks is currently being discussed, but nothing is finalized until an official announcement from the president or the White House." Officials said the talks are likely to be held in Islamabad, with Pakistan serving as a mediator. Trump's special envoy Witkoff, son-in-law Jared Kushner and Vice President Vance are expected to attend, officials said.
The tension in the Middle East triggered by the US-Iran conflict has lasted for nearly two months. The important channel of the Strait of Hormuz has been closed for a long time. The conflict in the Middle East has caused oil and other important commodities to fluctuate repeatedly, bringing many adverse effects to the global macroeconomic environment. This time the United States and Iran announced a temporary ceasefire and started negotiations, which brought a glimmer of light to the turbulent global market, greatly boosted risk appetite and stimulated a sharp rebound in risky assets such as cryptocurrencies.
According to CoinShares monitoring, market sentiment for digital asset investment products has recovered slightly, with inflows reaching US$224 million last week. Bitcoin inflows totaled $107.3 million, an improvement from a poor start at the beginning of the month. XRP saw the largest inflows of any asset with $119.6 million, its highest since mid-December 2025, taking its year-to-date inflows to $159 million (7% of AUM). Solana also received inflows, totaling $34.9 million, with steady inflows accounting for 10% of its AUM so far this year. Additionally, theU.S. Spot Bitcoin ETF recorded a net inflow of $471 million on Monday, and the U.S. Spot Ethereum ETF recorded a net inflow of $120 million on Monday, according to SoSoValue data.
In addition, according to the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) listing announcement, theMorgan Stanley Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) will be listed for trading under the "MBST" trading code on April 8, Eastern Time. This is the first spot BTC ETF issued by a major U.S. bank. The annual fee of this product is only 0.14%, which is lower than the 0.25% of BlackRock IBIT and the 0.15% of Grayscale GBTC, making it the lowest fee Bitcoin ETF on the market.
The net inflow of crypto-asset investment funds such as ETFs reflects the slight improvement in investor market sentiment, which increases market demand and brings resilience to the crypto market to a certain extent.
According to Strategy’s official disclosure, Strategy bought 4,871 BTC at an average price of approximately US$67,718 last week, with a total cost of approximately US$329.9 million. As of 2026, Strategy holds a total of 766,970 BTC, with a total holding cost of approximately US$58.02 billion, and an average price of approximately US$75,644 per coin. Strategy officials also issued a document saying that since the beginning of this year, the company's accumulated Bitcoin holdings have reached 2.2 times the market's natural supply, while achieving a 3.7% Bitcoin return rate. The cumulative income so far this year is approximately 24,675 BTC, equivalent to approximately US$1.7 billion.
Ethereum treasury company Bitmine Immersion Technologies disclosed that it increased its holdings of 71,252 ETH last week. The company’s current crypto asset holdings include 4,803,334 ETH, 198 BTC, Eightco Holdings shares worth US$92 million, and Beast Industries shares worth US$200 million. In addition, the company has a total of 3,334,637 ETH staked (based on $2,123 per ETH, a total of $7.1 billion).
As major institutional investors in the crypto market, listed treasury banks continue to purchase large amounts of crypto asset reserves, injecting a large amount of liquidity into the market, which greatly slows down the downward pressure on cryptocurrencies and accumulates strength for a rebound.
Cryptocurrency and other risk asset markets have been able to take a breather as the situation in the Middle East eases. How will it develop next? Can the United States and Iran reach a peace agreement on this? Can the global macro-environment be reversed? Let’s take a look at the main analytical interpretations of the market.
1. Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Philip Jeffersonsaid that the Iran war will cause uncertainty and push up U.S. inflation in the short term, but the central bank's current monetary policy settings are still appropriate. Jefferson described the current level of interest rates as roughly in a range that neither stimulates nor depresses the economy. He said that under the current stance, employment will be supported and inflation is expected to gradually fall back to the 2% target as the effects of tariffs fade.
2. Coinbase Institutional gave a neutral outlook for the market in the second quarter on the grounds that macro and geopolitical uncertainties such as the Iran conflict make forecasts highly unreliable. Citing a Bank of America fund manager survey, Coinbase pointed out that cash holdings rose nearly a percentage point per month to 4.3%, the fastest accumulation rate in five years. Despite the recent three to four standard deviation declines in the S&P 500, Bitcoin has only experienced a one standard deviation correction and has performed relatively well. The U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF recorded a net inflow of approximately US$471 million on April 6, its strongest single-day performance in six weeks, with BlackRock IBIT leading the way. The proportion of institutional holdings has increased from 24% a year ago to approximately 38%, with hedge funds, pension funds, etc. collectively holding over US$40 billion in shares.
3. Liquid Capital (formerly LD Capital) founder Yi Lihua posted on the social platform, "The war is confirmed to be over, there is no inside story, and there is no reason for both sides to continue fighting. We will see where the rebound will be to stop profits. This year's cryptocurrency market is very similar to 2019, with secondary liquidity falling off a cliff and primary investment confidence almost non-existent, W eb3 companies are laying off a large number of people, and people in the industry are changing careers. Be greedy when others are afraid. This year must be the best time to buy the bottom of the secondary and invest in the primary. It is similar to the institutions that bought the secondary and invested in the primary in 2019. They are the biggest winners in the bull market in 2020. We are working hard to do these two things. ”
4. Bloomberg ETF senior analyst Eric Balchunas posted on the However, data shows that the overall net inflow of Bitcoin ETFs so far this year is still slightly negative, indicating that the market as a whole is still in a wait-and-see situation. This recent round of capital inflows shows some traditional capital’s long-term allocation interest in Bitcoin ETFs.
5. CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost wrote that in the current Bitcoin market dynamics, those most affected are short-term holders (STH), that is, investors who hold BTC for less than six months. Currently, their cost price is about $85,400, which is significantly higher than the current market price. As a result, they are currently sitting on an average of about 19.4% unrealized losses. This situation usually triggers two main actions: A group of investors choose to remain patient and continue to hold BTC until they transform into long-term holders (LTH). (This trend has already appeared, with the supply of long-term holders increasing by approximately 300,000 BTC.) Another group of investors may panic and choose to exit the market, either by stopping their losses and leaving the market, or by late entrants leaving the market with a small profit. It is the latter type of people who tend to intensify market volatility and may trigger "capitulation" (capitulation). Historically, when unrealized losses for short-term holders exceed 25%, this level tends to correspond to the early stages of market bottoms. However, these periods are also often accompanied by higher volatility, in which less able-bodied investors are more likely to be forced out.
6. Arthur Hayes stated on the Coin Stories podcast that the last dollar will not be invested in Bitcoin at this time because the Federal Reserve has not yet been forced to expand liquidity. Arthur Hayes believes that tariff policies will lead to inflation and may prompt the United States to shift to capital controls, which will be a huge liquidity catalyst for Bitcoin. Arthur Hayes maintains his long-term target price for Bitcoin in this cycle between US$250,000 and US$750,000, but warned that if the US-Iran conflict continues, Bitcoin may fall below US$60,000 in the short term.
7. Fundstrat co-founder Tom Lee said that since the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, Ethereum has become the second-best performing asset, and Bitcoin ranks third. The overall performance of both has significantly outperformed the stock market. He pointed out that the current war expenditure is about US$30 billion per month and may rise to US$100 billion in the future; in contrast, the impact of rising energy prices on consumers is relatively limited - every US$10 increase in oil prices only corresponds to about US$4 billion to US$5 billion per month in consumption pressure. Tom Lee believes that in the context of high fiscal expenditures and energy fluctuations, the allocation value of cryptoassets as "liquidity and risk assets" is rising.
8. 10x Research published an analysis on the X platform and pointed out that Ethereum has basically been in a "non-revenue asset" state for the past five years, with the price hovering at about US$2,000 for a long time. Since November 2025, it has maintained a cautious or even bearish view, mainly due to the continued sluggish activity on the chain, which limits demand and value capture capabilities. With ETH retracing about 57% from its August 2025 high, the current valuation has become relatively cheap, which is more attractive than Bitcoin, which only fell about 42% during the same period. In addition, although Ethereum treasury companies including Bitmine still have book losses, the market continues to accumulate, and the issuance of Tether (USDT) on Ethereum has recently surpassed Tron, rekindling expectations that Ethereum is expected to benefit from the growth of stablecoins, and may become an important carrying layer for on-chain finance and Wall Street infrastructure. Against the above background, Ethereum is at a critical juncture. It is worth paying attention to whether it is about to usher in a recovery or whether structural headwinds will continue.